Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.284316 4.952648 5.656813 6.450806 7.317969 8.233203 9.269075
2024-12-22 3.264636 4.183142 5.215843 6.449386 7.869263 9.439573 11.294553
2024-12-29 2.705703 3.803929 5.110802 6.748330 8.713343 10.965254 13.710300
2025-01-05 2.267199 3.480847 5.002729 6.991846 9.464616 12.382481 16.029768
2025-01-12 1.877217 3.146840 4.821947 7.099046 10.021280 13.558854 18.076750
2025-01-19 1.511051 2.779184 4.541889 7.032572 10.327315 14.411827 19.731257
2025-01-26 1.281626 2.565526 4.434715 7.164622 10.867874 15.548289 21.739593
2025-02-02 1.090650 2.375761 4.332789 7.281031 11.373624 16.636464 23.694836
2025-02-09 0.868941 2.094799 4.062014 7.130688 11.499187 17.222270 25.010706
2025-02-16 0.688029 1.846955 3.809448 6.977841 11.598827 17.759679 26.258211
2025-02-23 0.569374 1.688814 3.678143 6.986873 11.912215 18.575022 27.868554
2025-03-02 0.450737 1.502788 3.477309 6.869879 12.031360 19.120950 29.124257
2025-03-09 0.404059 1.463987 3.529526 7.156250 12.753191 20.516904 31.552175
2025-03-16 0.331607 1.348228 3.431922 7.195312 13.110014 21.417092 33.333847
2025-03-23 0.303500 1.334595 3.519462 7.537696 13.925931 22.967854 36.012804
2025-03-30 0.271093 1.301478 3.565482 7.810380 14.641001 24.387427 38.531892
2025-04-06 0.228787 1.228216 3.524550 7.930958 15.123476 25.483711 40.622344
2025-04-13 0.178146 1.110740 3.379989 7.861619 15.305531 26.150744 42.128471
2025-04-20 0.150489 1.056620 3.359606 8.005286 15.819558 27.297511 44.306103
2025-04-27 0.125835 1.002515 3.332045 8.131439 16.304660 28.405288 46.437629
2025-05-04 0.090819 0.887411 3.153265 7.969511 16.320120 28.824908 47.609552
2025-05-11 0.063431 0.782409 2.980749 7.804651 16.319847 29.214879 48.738038
2025-05-18 0.047741 0.721143 2.904031 7.814466 16.602149 30.023184 50.462548